Classical Fermi question. The solution is number of approximation steps:
1. I live in WA, with approx population of 7M people
(So, the answer should be less than 7M)
2. I like Ginger Ale
3. Let's estimate that each active adult (from 18 to 65) drinks 2 cans of soda per day (someone doesn't drink soda, someone drinks a lot)
4. Considering normal age distribution it should be about 4M active adults in WA
5. Ginger Ale is not the most popular drink, probably the fourth after Coke,Pepsi and Iced Tea
Considering Coke and Pepsi takes the majority of the market, we can estimate the distribution as following:
Coke: 35%
Pepsi: 35%
Iced Tea: 10%
Ginger Ale: 10%
All Other: 10%
So, the answer is about 10% of 4M = 400K cans per day.
1. I live in WA, with approx population of 7M people
(So, the answer should be less than 7M)
2. I like Ginger Ale
3. Let's estimate that each active adult (from 18 to 65) drinks 2 cans of soda per day (someone doesn't drink soda, someone drinks a lot)
4. Considering normal age distribution it should be about 4M active adults in WA
5. Ginger Ale is not the most popular drink, probably the fourth after Coke,Pepsi and Iced Tea
Considering Coke and Pepsi takes the majority of the market, we can estimate the distribution as following:
Coke: 35%
Pepsi: 35%
Iced Tea: 10%
Ginger Ale: 10%
All Other: 10%
So, the answer is about 10% of 4M = 400K cans per day.